The Transition to Net Zero: Consequences for Productivity and the Economy
What are the impacts of climate change on the economy? Climate change and its consequences will be among the most significant issues affecting the UK economy over the coming century and will present a...
View ArticleThe Reality Behind Falling UK Living Standards
Ryan, can you summarise the qualitative aspect of this living standards research, including the approach you used and the findings? The qualitative part of this project looked to understand how the...
View ArticleSpring Statement 2025: Fiscal Rules, Growth Pressures, and Policy Choices
Given the current economic climate, what are the key challenges facing the Chancellor ahead of the Spring Statement? The Chancellor faces a number of significant economic headwinds. These include...
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Forecasting Inflation for 2025: Comparing Simple and Intermediate MRN Models
In last-month’s blog, we presented the forecasts made by the simplest Multiple Recurrent Neural Network (MRN) model based only on the CPI data itself. In this month’s blog, we present the forecasts for...
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Inflation Eases But Will Stay Above Target Through 2025
Annual CPI Inflation fell in February to 2.8 per from 3.0 per cent in January. The new inflation in the month from January to February 2025 was high at 0.45 per cent (an annualised rate of over 5 per...
View ArticleEvaluating the Chancellor’s 2025 Spring Statement
Will the Spring Statement help to raise economic growth? The outlook for the United Kingdom’s trend growth remains subdued. After years of hovering around 1 per cent per year, growth will pick up as a...
View ArticleAssessing the Impact of President Trump’s “Liberation Day” Tariffs
What are some of the likely implications of these “Liberation Day” tariffs for the UK economy? President Trump has levied a 10 per cent tariff on predominantly non-commodity goods imported from the...
View ArticleUnderstanding Living Standards: Insights from Community Researchers on...
Why did the NIESR team work with Community Researchers, and what were the benefits and challenges? Community Researchers, sometimes called peer researchers, are drawn from those affected by the topic...
View ArticleThe Role of the Third Sector within School Safeguarding
Why is school safeguarding both a challenge and a necessity? Safeguarding in schools refers to the collective responsibility of all those working with children and young people to create a safe,...
View ArticleFragile Growth and Trade Tensions
Since our Winter 2025 Economic Outlook, we have seen significant political and economic policy announcements globally and domestically. What is your current outlook for UK growth in 2025? Since we...
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